Wednesday, May 01, 2019

Aviation Error percentages in SA from Endsley


Some Aviation Error percentages in Situation Awareness from Endsley’s Article [1]

76% of SA errors in pilots could be traced to problems in perception of needed information (due to either  failures or shortcomings in the system or problems with cognitive processes).


A recent study of  human error in aircraft accidents found that 26.6% involved situations where there was poor decision making even though the aircrew appeared to have adequate situation awareness for the decision.


situations where all the needed information was present, but was not attended to by the operator (35% of total SA errors).


that working memory losses (where information was initially perceived and then forgotten) explained 8.4% of SA errors (frequently associated with task distractions and interruptions).


approximately 7% of SA errors could be traced to a poor or insufficient mental model.In addition, they found that 6.5% of SA errors involved the use of the incorrect mental model to process information, thus arriving at an incorrect understanding of the situation. Another 4.6% of SA errors involved over-reliance on default values in the mental model. Together these three problems with the use of mental models accounted for approximately 18% of SA errors.


that pattern matching to situation prototypes accounted for 87% of decisions by tactical commanders, with another 12% employing a story building process (most likely made possible through mental models). Commanders also tended to evaluate courses of action through mental simulation 18% of the time.

[1] Mica R. Endsley, Endsley, M. R. and Garland D. J (Eds.) (2000) Situation Awareness Analysis and Measurement. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates , THEORETICAL UNDERPINNINGS OF SITUATION AWARENESS: A CRITICAL REVIEW SA Technologies